StatSheet Projects Villanova as NIT Bubble Team: 01/24/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on January 24th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects Villanova to go to the NIT as a seven seed, provided they maintain a winning record. The Wildcats are sitting at #108 in the StatSheet StatRank, and making the NIT will be decided by their 10-10 overall record and 3-5 record in the Big East.

During its last four games, Villanova picked up a quality win against RPI #7 Seton Hall and a win against St. John's but also struggled with losses to RPI #89 Cincinnati and AP #3 Syracuse.

Villanova is not that good against top competition, with a 2-9 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-5 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-3 record against AP ranked teams. While the Wildcats have a single quality win against RPI #7 Seton Hall, they're also hampered by a bad loss to RPI #228 Santa Clara.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Saint Louis (15-4, 3-2 A-10, StatRank #49), Colorado (13-6, 5-2 Pac 12, StatRank #62), Arkansas (14-5, 2-2 SEC, StatRank #54), and Oregon (15-5, 6-2 Pac 12, StatRank #61).

The first four teams out are Cincinnati (15-6, 5-3 Big East, StatRank #78), NC State (15-5, 4-1 ACC, StatRank #67), Stanford (15-5, 5-3 Pac 12, StatRank #76), and Xavier (13-6, 4-2 A-10, StatRank #50).

The next four out are LSU (12-7, 2-3 SEC, StatRank #69), Marshall (13-6, 4-1 C-USA, StatRank #43), Texas (12-7, 2-4 Big 12, StatRank #70), and Virginia Tech (12-7, 1-4 ACC, StatRank #68).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Georgetown
#4Florida
#5Michigan
#6Connecticut
#7Creighton
#8Gonzaga
#9Alabama
#10California
#11Iowa State
#12Arkansas
#13UCF
#14Cleveland State
#15Akron
#16Belmont
#17Boston University
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Duke
#3Indiana
#4Marquette
#5Mississippi State
#6Florida State
#7Illinois
#8Louisville
#9Ole Miss
#10Colorado State
#11Memphis
#12Colorado
#13Harvard
#14Davidson
#15Bucknell
#16George Mason
#17MVSU
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Michigan State
#4UNLV
#5Murray State
#6Kansas State
#7Southern Miss
#8Saint Mary's
#9Northwestern
#10Dayton
#11Minnesota
#12Oral Roberts
#13MTSU
#14Iona
#15Nevada
#16Long Island
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Seton Hall
#4West Virginia
#5Virginia
#6San Diego State
#7Wisconsin
#8Temple
#9Vanderbilt
#10Purdue
#11Wichita State
#12Oregon
#13Saint Louis
#14Long Beach State
#15Weber State
#16Norfolk State
#17Texas-Arlington

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten9 1275.0%
Big East7 1643.8%
SEC7 1258.3%
Big 125 1050.0%
ACC4 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
Mountain West3 837.5%
Pac 123 1225.0%
C-USA3 1225.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
Horizon1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Big East Standings

OverallConf
1 Syracuse 34-3 17-1
2 Marquette 27-8 14-4
3 Notre Dame 22-12 13-5
4 Georgetown 24-9 12-6
4 Cincinnati 26-11 12-6
4 South Florida 22-14 12-6
7 Louisville 30-10 10-8
8 West Virginia 19-14 9-9
9 Seton Hall 21-13 8-10
9 Connecticut 20-14 8-10
11 Rutgers 14-18 6-12
11 St. John's 13-19 6-12
13 Pittsburgh 22-17 5-13
 13Villanova 13-19 5-13
15 Providence 15-17 4-14
16 DePaul 12-19 3-15
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#32 James Bell So G 6-5 225
#23 Dominic Cheek Jr G 6-6 185
#4 Darrun Hilliard Fr G 6-6 205
#3 Ty Johnson Fr G 6-3 185
#21 Markus Kennedy Fr F 6-9 260
#12 Nick McMahon So G 6-0 165
#20 Dallas Ouano Jr G 6-0 190
#22 J. Pinkston Fr F 6-7 260
#25 Maurice Sutton Jr F/C 6-11 225
#2 Maalik Wayns Jr G 6-2 185
#24 Achraf Yacoubou Fr G 6-4 210
#13 Mouphtaou Yarou Jr F/C 6-10 250