StatSheet Projects Villanova as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 02/15/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 15th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects Villanova as an NCAA Tournament bubble team but likely out unless it improves. The Wildcats are ranked #71 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 15-10 overall record and a 6-6 record in the Big East.

During the last four games, Villanova chalked up wins against South Florida and DePaul but also hit a setback with losses to RPI #31 Cincinnati and RPI #91 Providence.

Villanova is weak against top competition, with a 4-9 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 2-3 record against AP ranked teams. The Wildcats have three quality wins including AP #6 Syracuse, AP #12 Louisville, and RPI #50 St. John's They have a single bad loss against RPI #234 Columbia.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Southern Miss (19-6, 8-2 C-USA, StatRank #41), California (15-9, 7-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #40), and Alabama (16-8, 8-3 SEC, StatRank #59).

The first four teams out are Florida State (13-11, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #82), Rutgers (13-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #78), Texas A&M (15-9, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75), and Villanova (15-10, 6-6 Big East, StatRank #71).

The next four out are Maryland (17-7, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #72), Massachusetts (16-7, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #47), Charlotte (18-6, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #48), and Tennessee (13-10, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Colorado
#5Butler
#6New Mexico
#7Illinois
#8Cincinnati
#9Memphis
#10Baylor
#11Iowa State
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Montana
#17Niagara
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Florida
#3Kansas
#4Georgetown
#5Marquette
#6Oklahoma
#7Kentucky
#8Colorado State
#9UNLV
#10Belmont
#11MTSU
#12Boise State
#13Louisiana Tech
#14FGCU
#15Harvard
#16Northeastern
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Louisville
#4Kansas State
#5NC State
#6Oklahoma State
#7Notre Dame
#8Missouri
#9San Diego State
#10La Salle
#11St. John's
#12California
#13Southern Miss
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Long Beach State
#16Western Illinois
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Minnesota
#4Ohio State
#5Pittsburgh
#6Wisconsin
#7Oregon
#8North Carolina
#9UCLA
#10Ole Miss
#11Stanford
#12VCU
#13Wichita State
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Bryant
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Pac 126 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
Mountain West5 862.5%
SEC5 1241.7%
ACC4 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Big West1 911.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Season Preview: Villanova should not be significantly better or worse than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Big East Standings

OverallConf
 1Villanova 29-5 16-2
2 Creighton 27-8 14-4
3 Providence 23-12 10-8
3 Xavier 21-13 10-8
3 St. John's 20-13 10-8
6 Marquette 17-15 9-9
7 Georgetown 18-15 8-10
8 Seton Hall 17-17 6-12
9 Butler 14-17 4-14
10 DePaul 12-21 3-15
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#15 R. Arcidiacono So G 6-3 195
#32 James Bell Sr G 6-6 220
#5 Tony Chennault Sr G 6-2 195
#31 Dylan Ennis So G 6-2 192
#20 Patrick Farrell So F 6-5 200
#3 Josh Hart Fr G 6-5 202
#4 Darrun Hilliard Jr G 6-6 215
#2 Kris Jenkins Fr F 6-6 255
#0 Henry Lowe So G 5-11 185
#12 Nick McMahon Sr G 6-0 165
#23 Daniel Ochefu So F 6-11 245
#22 J. Pinkston Jr F 6-7 240
#14 Darryl Reynolds Fr F 6-8 225